Horse Profiles are a unique insight into a horse's performance preferences. Each profile looks at the full career record for profitable patterns which are not evident by simply glancing at one of the Trade papers.
Preferences may include the need for one or more of the following; a particular going or distance, a small or large field, a certain class of race or for a right hand or left hand track.
Having worked for years in the betting industry and then in a position which required a detailed knowledge of statistical analysis, I realised there was a need for a new approach to the analysis of a horse's form. This was tempered by the knowledge that having experienced a multitute of tipsters and systems, I was still not making a profit.
It was than that I realised that my statistical background could be useful in assessing the performance of individual horses throughout their racing career.
From this emerged the idea of a horse's profile, the application of which proved profitable (last flat season the OPTIMUM profiles made 50 points profit).
Why use my Horse Profiles?
My statistical approach is based upon a logical analysis of a horse's historical record and as such provides a basis upon which sound predictions can be made. For example:
Harmony Brig’s run at Ayr on the 10th January highlights some of the positive reasons to use horse profiles.
From the Racing Post stats section you could glean that the horse runs well at Ayr (winning 2 from 3 starts) and also that he goes well on soft ground (winning 3 from 4 starts)
However you would not know, without hard work, that the horse's record when racing off a rating of 111 to 130 reads 1111. Compare this to his record when racing off a rating of 131 or more, when there is only 1 win from 12 runs.
The horse also has a good record when racing in races worth less the 20k (5 wins from 12)
If we combine these 4 facts you would probably have felt that the horse was investing in.
He duly obliged at very rewarding odds of 22-1.